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UD Ourense vs Mérida AD: prediction, odds and tips (14 November)

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 14 November 2026, 16:30

UD Ourense vs Mérida AD prediction

UD Ourense host Mérida AD in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 14 November 2026 at 16:30 (German time).

Chances for each result

We calculated the chances from real bookmaker odds (without the bookmaker margin). UD Ourense win: 23%, draw: 28%, Mérida AD win: 49%. Mérida AD have a slight edge.

Goals

Expected goals: UD Ourense 0.82, Mérida AD 1.36. Over 1.5 goals: 64%, over 2.5 goals: 37%, under 3.5 goals: 82%. Both teams to score: 42%. Most likely score: 0-1 (15%).

Bets with high chances

Statistical estimates, not guarantees. All markets and odds are in the match card above.

Odds

1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5
3.43.12.052.081.69

Median odds from 9 bookmakers. Odds may change before kick-off.

Team form

Recent matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss): UD Ourense WLLWL, Mérida AD WWDLW. Average goals scored: UD Ourense 0.4, Mérida AD 1.8.

Other matches on 14 November

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